PROXY WARS (The Forester June 25th 2025)


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HOW EMPIRES FALL...

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  The USA is losing legitimacy precisely because of its oppression and repression. 'The empire faces a fatal dilemma: tolerating dissent weakens its central authority and fragments its cohesion, while repression, though temporarily effective, destroys its remaining legitimacy. It radicalizes populations, alienates allies and partners, and causes human, economic, and moral costs to skyrocket. Duroselle’s central paradox is clear: the more an empire attempts to ward off its demise through force, the more it accelerates its decline. Legitimacy—the invisible cement of domination—once lost, cannot be restored through coercion. Any attempt at rescue risks aggravating the problem and bringing the empire to an end. Trump’s policy follows in the footsteps of his predecessors, but his style and excesses are undoubtedly hastening America's loss of credibility on the world stage.'
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THE IRAN WAR SO FAR - BY BIG SERGE...

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  Big Serge is the best military historian there is - and this is his analysis of the war on Iran so far. As a tangential point he fails to mention the global impacts of the attacks on Iran. One of the reasons that the NATO block doesn't want to get involved is that they think the war on Iran by Israel and the USA will not be successful and will draw attention away from Ukraine which is their No 1 priority. If the initial attack on Iran had 'worked' they would be fully behind damning the 'terrorist regime' (sic). But is has so-far failed. Serge is absolutely right in my view in maintaining that they key thing for the USA and Israel neo-fascists is the crippling of Iran so that it has massively reduced influence. How Iran reacts to this is the key thing. Will it seek closer links with Russia and China? One can only hope so. Will it go for a nuclear weapon? This is logical. Will it begin to assassinate political enemies in Isael and the USA? What (after all) is the di...
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THE AGE OF 'ADMINISTRATIVE' POWER.

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Warwick Powell explains  how the administrative state has taken over in Europe... 'Regulatory authorities now determine which organisations qualify as legitimate civil society actors, which media outlets are “trusted,” which research bodies are acceptable partners and which narratives are “foreign-influenced.” These classifications carry decisive material consequences - access to funding, platforms and institutional recognition - yet are framed as neutral, technical assessments... Regulatory authorities now determine which organisations qualify as legitimate civil society actors, which media outlets are “trusted,” which research bodies are acceptable partners and which narratives are “foreign-influenced.” These classifications carry decisive material consequences - access to funding, platforms and institutional recognition - yet are framed as neutral, technical assessments.... In countries such as Georgia and Moldova, the EU has increasingly positioned itself not merely as an obser...
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